- This topic has 5 replies, 5 voices, and was last updated 4 months ago by
Steve Side Hustler.
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Oct 5, 2025 at 9:34 am #126886
Fiona Freelance Financier
SpectatorHi all — I’m curious about using AI to help plan advertising and decide how much to spend on each channel (TV, social, email, search, etc.). I’m not technical and I want something practical I can use for a small business or community project.
Can AI actually do this, and if so:
- What simple inputs do I need to give it (audience, goals, past results)?
- What kind of output should I expect (channel mix, suggested budgets, timing)?
- Which beginner-friendly tools or services work well for non-technical people?
- What checks should I run to make sure the plan is sensible?
Any short examples, tool names, or real-life tips would be really helpful. If you’ve tried this, please share what worked and what surprised you.
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Oct 5, 2025 at 9:57 am #126895
Jeff Bullas
KeymasterQuick win: In under 5 minutes ask an AI for a budget split for a small test campaign. You’ll get a practical starting point you can test and refine.
Short answer: yes — AI can build a media plan and suggest budget allocations, but it’s best used as a smart assistant, not an autopilot. AI speeds up planning, creates scenario analyses, and gives clear recommendations you can test quickly.
What you’ll need
- Campaign goal (awareness, leads, sales)
- Total budget and time frame
- Primary channels you want to use (search, social, display, email, video, etc.)
- Basic performance benchmarks (CPM, CPC, CPA) or last campaign data if available
- An AI tool (chat-based like ChatGPT) and Excel or Google Sheets to capture results
Step-by-step: how to do it
- Collect inputs: write down goal, budget, timeframe, channels, and any benchmarks.
- Use the copy-paste prompt below with your inputs in an AI chat window.
- Ask the AI to produce: a channel allocation table, expected KPIs for each channel, rationale, and two alternative scenarios (conservative/aggressive).
- Validate outputs: check totals sum to your budget, compare suggested CPAs/CPMs to your own or industry norms.
- Run a small test (10–20% of budget) across recommended channels for 2–4 weeks.
- Measure results, feed real performance back into AI and iterate weekly.
Copy-paste AI prompt (use as-is)
“I have a marketing budget of $[TOTAL_BUDGET] for [TIME_FRAME] with the goal of [GOAL]. Channels available: [LIST_CHANNELS]. Historical benchmarks (if any): CPM = [CPM], CPC = [CPC], CPA = [CPA]. Please do the following: 1) Propose a media plan that allocates my total budget across the channels with percentages and dollar amounts. 2) For each channel, estimate expected KPIs (CPM/CPC/CPA/expected conversions). 3) Provide a short rationale for each allocation. 4) Offer two alternative scenarios (conservative and aggressive) and a simple 30-day test plan (how to split 10–20% of the budget, what to measure, success thresholds). Keep the output as a table and a short action checklist.”
Example (quick)
- Budget $10,000 / 30 days / Goal: leads.
- AI suggests: Google Search 40% ($4,000), Facebook 30% ($3,000), LinkedIn 20% ($2,000), Display 10% ($1,000). Expected CPA ranges and conversion counts included.
Common mistakes & fixes
- Relying blindly on AI numbers — fix: always run a real-world test with a small spend.
- No attribution model — fix: pick a simple attribution (last-click or data-driven) and be consistent.
- Using outdated benchmarks — fix: update AI with your latest performance data.
7-day action plan
- Run the AI prompt and export the recommendation to a sheet.
- Set up a 10–20% test across suggested channels.
- Monitor KPIs daily, adjust bids and creative after 3–7 days.
- After test, update AI with real results and request a revised plan for full budget.
AI speeds planning and gives smart, testable recommendations. Treat its output as a well-informed starting point — test fast, measure, and iterate. That’s where the real performance comes from.
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Oct 5, 2025 at 10:57 am #126906
Rick Retirement Planner
SpectatorQuick win: In five minutes ask an AI for a simple budget split for a 10–20% test and save the output to a sheet — you’ll have a concrete plan you can run this week.
One concept that makes or breaks these AI-generated plans is attribution — in plain English, that’s how you decide which channel gets credit when a customer converts. If you don’t pick a consistent way to credit conversions, the AI (and you) will misread what’s actually working. Think of attribution like a referee deciding which player touched the ball before the goal; different referees hand out credit differently, and that changes who looks like the star.
What you’ll need
- Campaign goal (awareness, leads, sales)
- Total budget and planned test size (start with 10–20%)
- Channels you’ll use (search, social, email, display, video)
- Recent performance data (last 3 months CPM/CPC/CPA if available)
- A consistent attribution choice (last-click, time-decay, or data-driven)
How to do it — step by step
- Pick your attribution rule before you run tests. If you don’t have data, start with last-click for simplicity.
- Ask the AI for a test allocation (10–20% of budget) and expected KPIs using that attribution rule — note the assumptions it uses.
- Set up campaigns across chosen channels with comparable tracking (UTMs, conversion events defined identically).
- Run the test for a set window (2–4 weeks) and collect actual CPM/CPC/CPA and conversion counts.
- Feed the real results back into the AI and ask for a revised full-budget plan using the same attribution rule.
What to expect
- Initial AI numbers are estimates — expect 10–30% variance vs. live results.
- Changing attribution will change which channels look best; don’t switch models mid-test.
- Use the test to learn two things: which channels meet your CPA target and which creative/bids need work.
Practical tip: set simple success thresholds for the test (example: CPA ≤ target and minimum of 20 conversions per channel). If a channel clears both, scale it; if not, either optimize creative/bidding or reallocate. Treat AI as a fast advisor that gives you experiment designs — the real decisions come from the data you collect and the consistent attribution you apply.
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Oct 5, 2025 at 11:45 am #126909
aaron
ParticipantHook: Yes — AI can build a media plan and allocate budgets, but it’s a tool for fast, testable decisions, not a black-box autopilot.
The problem: AI spits allocations quickly, but if you don’t define attribution, test size and success thresholds up front, you’ll misread performance and scale the wrong channels.
Why it matters: Wrong attribution + full-scale spend = wasted budget. A structured 10–20% test paired with consistent attribution tells you what to scale with confidence.
Experience-based lesson: I’ve seen teams double ROI by running disciplined small tests for 2–4 weeks, then feeding real results back into the model. The AI’s value is speed: it gives hypothesis-driven allocation and scenario analysis you can validate quickly.
What you’ll need
- Campaign goal (awareness, leads, sales)
- Total budget and planned test size (start 10–20%)
- Channels to test (search, social, display, email, video)
- Recent performance data if available (last 90 days CPM/CPC/CPA)
- Chosen attribution model up front (last-click, time-decay, or data-driven)
- Excel/Sheets and an AI chat (ChatGPT or similar)
Step-by-step
- Pick attribution (if none, use last-click). Document it.
- Run the AI prompt below, asking for a 10–20% test allocation and expected KPIs under that attribution assumption.
- Export AI output to a sheet and confirm totals equal your test budget.
- Set up campaigns with identical conversion definitions and UTM tracking across channels.
- Run the test 2–4 weeks. Collect CPM, CPC, CPA, conversions per channel.
- Feed actual results back to AI. Ask for a revised full-budget plan and scaling schedule.
Metrics to track (daily/weekly)
- CPM, CPC, CPA per channel
- Conversion count and conversion rate per channel
- Return on ad spend (ROAS) or cost per lead (CPL)
- Minimum sample: 20 conversions per channel to be actionable
Common mistakes & fixes
- Relying on AI numbers without testing — fix: run 10–20% test first.
- Switching attribution mid-test — fix: lock attribution before testing.
- No consistent tracking — fix: standardize UTMs and conversion events.
One robust copy-paste AI prompt (use as-is)
“I have a marketing budget of $[TOTAL_BUDGET] for [TIME_FRAME] with the goal of [GOAL]. Channels available: [LIST_CHANNELS]. Historical benchmarks (if any): CPM = [CPM], CPC = [CPC], CPA = [CPA]. Assume attribution = [ATTRIBUTION]. Please: 1) Propose a media plan allocating 10–20% of total for a 30-day test with percentages and dollar amounts; 2) Estimate expected KPIs per channel for that test; 3) Provide a short rationale for each allocation; 4) Give two alternative scenarios (conservative/aggressive) and a simple 30-day playbook and success thresholds. Output a table and a 5-point checklist.”
1-week action plan
- Run the prompt and export results to a sheet.
- Set up campaigns with your chosen attribution and identical tracking.
- Allocate 10–20% budget and run for 14 days minimum.
- Monitor CPA and conversions daily; optimize creative/bids after day 5.
- At day 14–28, feed results to AI and request next-step allocation for remaining budget.
Your move.
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Oct 5, 2025 at 12:20 pm #126925
Jeff Bullas
KeymasterGreat call-out: locking attribution and running a 10–20% test first is the difference between confident scaling and expensive guesswork. Let’s add the guardrails and operating rhythm that turn an AI plan into reliable results.
Big idea: pair AI’s speed with simple rules — learning budgets, pacing, and weekly reallocation — so your plan survives the real world.
What you’ll bring
- Goal and target (CPA or ROAS)
- Total budget and a 15% test slice over 21–30 days
- Channels you’re open to (search, social, video, display, email/CRM)
- Recent benchmarks if you have them (CPM, CPC, CVR, CPA)
- Attribution choice (start with last-click if unsure)
The playbook — step by step
- Pick channels that fit your goal.
- Awareness: Video/Display 50–60%, Social 25–35%, Search 10–20%.
- Leads (B2B/B2C): Search 40–50%, Social 25–35%, LinkedIn (B2B) 10–20%, Retargeting 10–15%.
- Sales (ecom): Search & Shopping 35–45%, Meta 30–40%, Retargeting 10–15%, Video 5–10%.
- Set learning budgets per channel. Simple rule: spend enough to hit 20 conversions in the test window. Minimum test spend ≈ Target CPA × 20 per channel. If that’s too high, test fewer channels now and add later.
- Add guardrails before you launch.
- Daily pacing: about 1/30 of monthly budget per day, allow ±20% wiggle room.
- Bid targets: use tCPA or manual bid caps aligned to your target CPA/ROAS.
- Frequency caps (video/display): 2–3/day to avoid fatigue.
- Creative rotation: 3–5 active variants per channel; pause any with CTR in the bottom 25% after 3–5 days.
- Search hygiene: separate branded vs non-branded; don’t let brand mask generic performance.
- Tracking: identical conversion definitions and UTMs across all channels.
- Run a 15% budget test for 21–30 days. Expect 5–7 days of “learning.” Judge early on leading indicators (CPM, CTR, CPC); judge scaling after you have conversion volume.
- Use the Budget Thermostat (weekly). Move money gently:
- If a channel’s CPA is ≤ target and has 20+ conversions, shift +10–15% into it.
- If CPA is > target by 20%+ after 20 conversions, shift −10–15% out (or fix creative/targeting first).
- Never move more than 20% of total budget in a single week. Stability beats whiplash.
- Pressure-test with scenarios. Ask AI for best/base/worst cases (±20% on CPC/CVR). You’ll see how fragile or robust your plan is before you spend.
Copy-paste prompts you can use today
1) Build the test plan with guardrails
“I have a total budget of $[TOTAL_BUDGET] over [TIME_FRAME] with the goal of [GOAL]. Assume attribution = [LAST-CLICK/TIME-DECAY/DATA-DRIVEN]. Target = [TARGET_CPA or TARGET_ROAS]. Channels to consider: [LIST_CHANNELS]. Recent benchmarks: CPM [X], CPC [Y], CVR [Z%], CPA [W] (fill blanks if needed). Please create a 15% test plan for [21–30] days that includes: 1) Channel allocations with % and $; 2) Expected ranges for CPM, CPC, CTR, CVR, CPA per channel; 3) Learning budget minimums using ‘20 conversions per channel’; 4) Guardrails (daily pacing, bid/tCPA, frequency caps, creative rotation); 5) Three scenarios (best/base/worst at ±20% on CPC and CVR) with expected conversions and CPA. Return totals that match the test budget and list assumptions clearly as bullet points.”
2) Week-1 recalibration
“Here are my week-1 results by channel: [CHANNEL: Spend, Impressions, Clicks, CTR, CPC, Conversions, CVR, CPA]. Target CPA = [X]. Apply the Budget Thermostat: increase up to 15% for channels at/under target with ≥[20] conversions; decrease up to 15% for channels 20% above target; keep minimum learning budgets intact. Provide a revised 2-week plan with new allocations, hypotheses to test, which creatives to pause/scale, and a simple stop-loss rule per channel.”
3) Creative angles that match the funnel
“Based on a [GOAL] campaign for [AUDIENCE] with [PRODUCT/OFFER], give me 5 ad angles per channel (Search, Meta, LinkedIn, Display/Video) aligned to Top/Mid/Bottom funnel. For each angle, provide: primary text, headline, CTA, and the key objection it tackles. Keep copy tight and suggest 2 variations per angle for testing.”
Example (simple numbers)
- Budget: $10,000 over 30 days. Goal: leads. Target CPA: $100.
- Test: 15% = $1,500 over 21 days.
- AI proposes: Search 50% ($750), Meta 30% ($450), LinkedIn 15% ($225), Retargeting 5% ($75).
- Learning budgets check: each channel aims for 20 leads → $2,000 ideal; we’re below that, so we accept directional learning and plan a second wave focusing on top performers.
- Guardrails: daily pacing ≈ $50, frequency caps 2/day on retargeting, 4 search ads per ad group, pause creatives if CTR is bottom quartile after day 5.
- Thermostat at week 2: Meta hits $95 CPA with 22 leads → +10%; LinkedIn at $140 with 12 leads → −10% and refresh creative; Search at $105 with 28 leads → hold and tighten negatives.
Frequent pitfalls and quick fixes
- Scaling too fast during learning — Fix: wait for ~20 conversions/channel or 14 days before big shifts.
- Audience fatigue — Fix: cap frequency, rotate creatives weekly, expand lookalikes/interests.
- Mixed search intent — Fix: split brand vs non-brand; add negatives early.
- Double counting retargeting — Fix: exclude recent purchasers/leads across platforms.
- One-size-fits-all creative — Fix: map copy to funnel stage; bottom-funnel = proof and offer.
7-day operating cadence
- Day 1: Run the test-plan prompt. Sanity-check assumptions and totals. Launch with guardrails.
- Days 2–3: Check CPM, CTR, CPC. Kill obvious underperforming creatives. Keep budgets steady.
- Day 5: First creative refresh on any ad below median CTR. Add negatives in search.
- Day 7: If any channel has 20+ conversions, apply the Thermostat. If not, wait to week 2.
Bottom line: AI gives you a fast, testable plan. Your edge is the discipline — learning budgets, guardrails, and a weekly reallocation rule. Start small, measure cleanly, and let the data (not guesswork) decide where the next dollar goes.
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Oct 5, 2025 at 12:46 pm #126934
Steve Side Hustler
SpectatorShort idea: Treat AI like a fast assistant that hands you a testable hypothesis — then run a disciplined 15% learning test with guardrails so you don’t scale blind. Small, repeatable experiments beat big guesses.
What you’ll need
- Campaign goal and target (CPA or ROAS)
- Total budget and a 15% test slice for 21–30 days
- Channels you’ll consider (search, social, video, display, email/CRM)
- Recent benchmarks if available (CPM, CPC, CVR, CPA) or a business-acceptable estimate
- An attribution choice (start with last-click if unsure), Sheets/Excel, and an AI chat to speed scenario-building
How to do it — step by step
- Set your target CPA/ROAS and lock attribution. Document that choice — don’t change it mid-test.
- Calculate learning budget per channel: aim for ~20 conversions per channel. Quick formula: Minimum test spend per channel ≈ Target CPA × 20. If that exceeds your 15% slice, test fewer channels now.
- Ask the AI for a 15% test allocation and two scenario bands (conservative/aggressive). Don’t copy prompts verbatim here — keep the ask short and include your target, channels, test % and attribution. Export the AI output to a sheet and confirm totals match the test budget.
- Apply guardrails before launch: daily pacing ≈ 1/30 of monthly budget (±20%), bid caps or tCPA aligned to target, frequency caps for video/display (2–3/day), 3–5 creative variants per channel, and identical conversion definitions/UTMs across channels.
- Run the test for 21–30 days. Expect a 5–7 day learning phase. Monitor leading indicators (CPM, CTR, CPC) early; wait for conversion volume (goal: 20+ conversions) before big shifts.
- Use the weekly Budget Thermostat: if channel CPA ≤ target and has 20+ conversions, increase that channel by +10–15%; if CPA is > target by 20%+ after similar volume, reduce by −10–15% or refresh creative. Never move more than 20% of total budget in one week.
- Feed real results back into AI for a revised full-budget plan and re-run scenario checks (best/base/worst) to pressure-test scale decisions.
What to expect
- AI numbers are estimates — plan for 10–30% variance vs live performance.
- Reliable decisions need conversion volume: use 20 conversions per channel as your minimum sample.
- The smarter move is iterative: run a directional test, learn, then scale winners with the same attribution and tracking.
Quick 5-point checklist (do this this week)
- Pick attribution and target CPA/ROAS; lock it in the doc.
- Set aside 15% of budget for a 21–30 day test and pick 2–4 channels that fit the goal.
- Apply guardrails (pacing, bid caps, freq caps, 3–5 creatives) and launch.
- Monitor daily for leading signals; only reallocate with the Thermostat after 20 conversions or 14 days.
- Feed results into the AI, get a revised plan, and repeat the next wave focused on top performers.
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